Skip to main content
The Full Record
Menu

U.S. House · Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District

Northwestern Pennsylvania, including Erie, Butler, and Mercer counties.

General election · Tuesday, November 3, 2026

RESULT · UNOFFICIAL UNTIL CERTIFIED

Mike Kelly, projected winner

CandidateVotesShare
Mike Kelly154,38053.9%
Justin Wagner132,22546.1%

About 98% of the expected vote counted. As of November 9. Winners take office next year. Counts can change until states certify. NBC News ↗

Sources re-checked September 25, 2026 · How we research

  • Incumbent Republican Mike Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner each advanced from their May 19, 2026 primaries.[1][3]

On the November 3 ballot · 2 candidates

Mike KellyRINCUMBENTPROJECTED WINNERU.S. Representative (since 2011); Chair, House Ways and Means Subcommittee on TaxFull profile →Justin WagnerDFull profile →

Issue evidence — side by side

Recorded votes, documented positions and candidates’ own words are shown with sources. “In their own words” quotes a candidate on the topic without inferring a stance. Votes describe specific bills or motions; they do not establish overall support or opposition to a broad issue. A dash means our research has no evidence on that topic, not that the candidate has no position.

Protect legal access to abortion

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[38][39][40]

    Voted no on Women's Health Protection Act of 2021 (H.R. 3755, 2021-09-24). Voted no on Women's Health Protection Act of 2022 (H.R. 8296, 2022-07-15). Voted yes on Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act (H.R. 36, 2017-10-03), which would have banned most abortions after 20 weeks.

  • Justin Wagner
    Supports[9]

    Supports a federal guarantee of the right to choose and pledges to vote for the Women's Health Protection Act.

Stricter gun laws

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[33][34][35][36]

    Voted no on Bipartisan Background Checks Act (H.R. 8, 2019-02-27), which would have required background checks on most private gun sales. Voted no on Assault Weapons Ban of 2022 (H.R. 1808, 2022-07-29), which would have banned the sale of many semiautomatic assault weapons. Voted no on Bipartisan Safer Communities Act (S. 2938, 2022-06-24), which expanded background checks for buyers under 21 and funded state red-flag programs. Voted yes on Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act (H.R. 38, 2017-12-06), which would have required states to honor other states' concealed-carry permits.

  • Justin Wagner
    Supports[9]

    Supports universal background checks and red flag laws with due process protections, while affirming the right to bear arms.

Expand immigration enforcement and deportations

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[17][18][19][20][21][22][23]

    Voted yes on Laken Riley Act (S. 5, 2025-01-22). Voted yes on One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1, 2025-05-22; 2025-07-03), which funded expanded immigration enforcement, detention and border operations. Voted yes on Secure the Border Act of 2023 (H.R. 2, 2023-05-11). Voted no on American Dream and Promise Act of 2019 (H.R. 6, 2019-06-04; 2021-03-18).

  • Justin Wagner
    —

Raise taxes on high earners or corporations

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[18][19][20][29][28]

    Voted yes on One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1, 2025-05-22; 2025-07-03; 2017-12-20), which made the 2017 individual tax rates, including the 37% top rate, permanent. Voted no on Inflation Reduction Act (H.R. 5376, 2022-08-12), which added a 15% minimum tax on large corporations and a stock-buyback excise tax.

  • Justin Wagner
    Supports[9]

    Calls for closing 2017 tax-law loopholes and taxing wealth like work, and criticizes the cut in the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%.

Expand public health coverage

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[18][19][20][25][26]

    Voted yes on One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1, 2025-05-22; 2025-07-03), which reduced federal Medicaid spending and added Medicaid work requirements. Voted no on Breaking the Gridlock Act (H.R. 1834, 2026-01-08), which extended enhanced ACA premium subsidies. Voted yes on American Health Care Act (H.R. 1628, 2017-05-04), which would have capped federal Medicaid funding and ended enhanced funding for the Medicaid expansion.

  • Justin Wagner
    Supports[9]

    Pledges to oppose cuts to Medicare and Medicaid and to co-sponsor and vote for the Medicare For All Act (H.R. 3069).

Faster transition away from fossil fuels

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[18][19][20][27][28]

    Voted yes on One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1, 2025-05-22; 2025-07-03), which phased out Inflation Reduction Act clean-energy tax credits. Voted no on Build Back Better Act (H.R. 5376, 2021-11-19; 2022-08-12), which would have funded clean-energy tax credits.

  • Justin Wagner
    Supports[9]

    Pledges to push for real action to cut emissions and invest in clean energy jobs.

Public funding for school choice (vouchers / charters)

  • Mike Kelly
    —
  • Justin Wagner
    Opposes[9]

    Says he does not support school vouchers that take away from public school funding.

Raise the minimum wage

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[37]

    Voted no on Raise the Wage Act (H.R. 582, 2019-07-18).

  • Justin Wagner
    Supports[9]

    Calls for raising the federal minimum wage and tying it to inflation.

Broad tariffs on imported goods

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[32]

    Voted no on Resolution disapproving tariffs on Canada (H.J. Res. 72, 2026-02-11), which disapproved the tariffs on Canadian imports.

  • Justin Wagner
    —

Universal, publicly funded child care

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[27]

    Voted no on Build Back Better Act (H.R. 5376, 2021-11-19), which would have funded universal pre-K and child-care subsidies.

  • Justin Wagner
    —

Require documentary proof of citizenship to register to vote

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[24]

    Voted yes on SAVE Act (H.R. 22, 2025-04-10).

  • Justin Wagner
    —

Require Congress to approve U.S. military action abroad

  • Mike Kelly
    Recorded votes[30][31]

    Voted no on War Powers Resolution on Venezuela (H. Con. Res. 64, 2025-12-17), which would have directed the removal of U.S. forces from hostilities against Venezuela absent congressional authorization. Voted no on War Powers Resolution directing removal of forces from Iran hostilities (H. Con. Res. 86, 2026-06-03), which directed the removal of U.S. forces from hostilities against Iran absent congressional authorization.

  • Justin Wagner
    Supports[9]

    Says war powers belong to Congress and pledges to vote for legislation requiring a president to seek a House debate and vote before putting troops in harm's way.

Research notes & limits

Kelly's federal key floor votes and FEC finance totals are added by script; only pre-2025 key votes and committee roles listed here are from Ballotpedia. Wagner's campaign site did not list specific issue positions mapped to the guide's issue keys beyond general priorities, so no positions were documented for him. Biography gaps: Wagner's birth year and specific degrees are not stated on his campaign site.

Sources · 43

Researched 2026-09-25. Green citations are official government records.

  1. 1.Mike Kelly (Pennsylvania) · Ballotpedia Reference
  2. 2.About · Justin Wagner for Congress Candidate's own words
  3. 3.Justin Wagner · Ballotpedia Reference
  4. 4.Home · Justin Wagner for Congress Candidate's own words
  5. 5.Roll Call 91 | H.R. 6, American Dream and Promise Act of 2021 — On Passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives · 2021-03-18 Official record
  6. 6.Roll Call 75 | H.R. 8, Bipartisan Background Checks Act of 2021 — On Passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives · 2021-03-11 Official record
  7. 7.Roll Call 420 | H.R. 5376, Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives · 2022-08-12 Official record
  8. 8.Roll Call 549 | H.R.36, Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act — On Passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives · 2017-10-03 Official record
  9. 9.Platform · Justin Wagner for Congress Candidate's own words
  10. 10.Kelly votes to strengthen U.S. border security, fund CBP & ICE · Office of Rep. Mike Kelly · 2026-06-09 Official record
  11. 11.Mike Kelly (Pennsylvania) · Ballotpedia Reference
  12. 12.Full Biography · Office of Rep. Mike Kelly Official record
  13. 13.Committees and Caucuses · Office of Rep. Mike Kelly Official record
  14. 14.Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election results 2026 · NBC News News report
  15. 15.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act (SAVE Act) — sponsors and cosponsors · Congress.gov Official record
  16. 16.H.R. 7296, the SAVE America Act (SAVE America Act) — sponsors and cosponsors · Congress.gov Official record
  17. 17.Roll call: Laken Riley Act — final passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2025-01-22 Official record
  18. 18.Roll call: One Big Beautiful Bill Act — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2025-05-22 Official record
  19. 19.H.R. 1 (119th Congress) — One Big Beautiful Bill Act: text and summary · Congress.gov Official record
  20. 20.Roll call: One Big Beautiful Bill Act — final passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2025-07-03 Official record
  21. 21.Roll call: Secure the Border Act of 2023 — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2023-05-11 Official record
  22. 22.Roll call: American Dream and Promise Act of 2019 — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2019-06-04 Official record
  23. 23.Roll call: American Dream and Promise Act of 2021 — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2021-03-18 Official record
  24. 24.Roll call: SAVE Act — proof-of-citizenship voter registration · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2025-04-10 Official record
  25. 25.Roll call: Breaking the Gridlock Act — ACA subsidy extension · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2026-01-08 Official record
  26. 26.Roll call: American Health Care Act — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2017-05-04 Official record
  27. 27.Roll call: Build Back Better Act — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2021-11-19 Official record
  28. 28.Roll call: Inflation Reduction Act — final House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2022-08-12 Official record
  29. 29.Roll call: Tax Cuts and Jobs Act — final House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2017-12-20 Official record
  30. 30.Roll call: War Powers Resolution on Venezuela · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2025-12-17 Official record
  31. 31.Roll call: War Powers Resolution directing removal of forces from Iran hostilities · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2026-06-03 Official record
  32. 32.Roll call: Resolution disapproving tariffs on Canada · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2026-02-11 Official record
  33. 33.Roll call: Bipartisan Background Checks Act — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2019-02-27 Official record
  34. 34.Roll call: Assault Weapons Ban of 2022 — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2022-07-29 Official record
  35. 35.Roll call: Bipartisan Safer Communities Act — final House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2022-06-24 Official record
  36. 36.Roll call: Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2017-12-06 Official record
  37. 37.Roll call: Raise the Wage Act — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2019-07-18 Official record
  38. 38.Roll call: Women's Health Protection Act of 2021 — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2021-09-24 Official record
  39. 39.Roll call: Women's Health Protection Act of 2022 — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2022-07-15 Official record
  40. 40.Roll call: Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act — House passage · Office of the Clerk, U.S. House · 2017-10-03 Official record
  41. 41.About · Justin Wagner for Congress Candidate's own words
  42. 42.Justin Wagner · Ballotpedia Reference
  43. 43.U.S. House · Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District results 2026 · NBC News News report